MacroFilters - Robust Trend-Cycle Decomposition for Macroeconomic Time Series
Provides high-performance tools for macroeconomic trend
extraction and filtering, specifically designed to solve the
end-point problem in real-time. Implements the MacroBoost
Hybrid (MBH) filter using penalized P-splines and gradient
boosting. Unlike the standard Hodrick-Prescott filter,
'MacroFilters' utilizes component-wise L2-boosting with robust
loss functions (Huber) to handle extreme transient shocks
(e.g., COVID-19) without inducing spurious trend shifts. The
algorithm includes an automated two-layer diagnostic stage for
unit roots and structural breaks, optimized via corrected AICc
for computational efficiency. Methodology detailed in Kinel
(2026) <doi:10.2139/ssrn.6371138>.